Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.
Commonwealth
What Mattered This Week? Banks Seek Help from the Fed
There were two events that mattered this week. First was the regular Fed meeting on interest rates, where the Fed ended up raising rates by the expected 25 bps. Even as it did, though, Chair Powell led the press conference with unexpectedly dovish commentary. He explicitly said that the Fed was aware of the stress in the financial system, that it would have negative effects on the economy, and that it would affect future Fed decisions. All told, this was about as dovish a rate increase as you can get. On the whole, that seemed to leave markets feeling if not good, then at least not bad.
Market Focus Moves from the Fed to Financial Crisis
Yesterday, the Fed completed its regular meeting and announced that it would increase interest rates by 25 bps, or a quarter percentage point. This move was in line with expectations, and markets shrugged. Even at the press conference, when some awkward questions were asked (which Chair Powell ducked), markets bounced around but remained calm. But then something else happened. After Powell had gone to some trouble to assure people that their deposits were safe (without actually committing to anything), Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was asked whether there were plans to dial up deposit insurance across the board. She said no, and then the market started to sell off.
Economic Release Snapshot: Mixed February Inflation Reports
Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.
What Mattered This Week? Banks, Banks, Banks
On one hand, the answer to “what mattered this week?” is an easy one: the banks. On the other hand, the more difficult questions are, why does it matter and what does it all mean? So, let’s take a look at what happened and exactly why it matters.
Monthly Market Risk Update: March 2023 [SlideShare]
My colleague Sam Millette, director, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, helped me put together this month’s Market Risk Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam! Let’s take a closer look.