There were a number of important economic updates last week, with a focus on consumer confidence, the Fed’s January meeting, and the advanced estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth. The first look at GDP growth in the fourth quarter was a highlight, as the report showed that the economic recovery picked up speed to finish out the year. This will be another busy week of updates, with reports on business confidence and January employment serving as highlights to come.
Commonwealth
Will Chinese Equities Roar in the Year of the Tiger?
On February 1, China bids farewell to the Year of the Ox and rings in the Year of the Tiger. The ox symbolizes prosperity, diligence, and perseverance. In 2021, this symbol was apt, as Chinese economic policy shifted from “growth at all costs” to “common prosperity” and the country diligently persevered through many regulatory changes. Chinese equities were collateral damage in the process. As the Year of the Tiger rolls in, Chinese equities could remain volatile but purr stronger.
What the Fed Said
One of the key sources of uncertainty that has driven the market pullback over the past weeks has been interest rates. Specifically, the rise in rates—and the fear that the Fed would tighten further—pulled growth stocks down, including many in the tech sector, and generated significant uncertainty around where the economy was going.
An Update on the 100K Project
I see the market is bouncing back a bit, and I know the headlines of the day will revolve around the Fed meeting and press conference, which are still a couple of hours away and I will cover tomorrow. So, let’s do something a bit different today. Let’s take a look at my 100K project.
More Market Volatility Ahead?
Yesterday gave a great example of what I meant in Friday’s post when I said the stock market was not crashing. For those who missed it, the U.S. markets dropped sharply during the day, with the Nasdaq down almost 5 percent on the day, only to rebound at day’s end and land in the green. This kind of reversal is rare and signaled that—at the depths of the decline yesterday—a number of investors saw enough value in those prices to step in and buy.
Monday Update: Existing Home Sales Hit 15-Year High in 2021
Last week saw the release of a number of important economic updates, with a focus on the housing sector. The existing home sales report was a highlight, as sales of existing homes showed notable year-over-year growth in 2021. This week will be busy once again. The highlights to come include reports on consumer confidence, the results from the January FOMC meeting, and the first look at fourth-quarter GDP growth.