Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.
News
Investor Worries on the Rise—But Is It Time to Panic?
I have gotten more than the usual number of worried emails, texts, and calls recently—not only from Commonwealth advisors, driven by the concerns of their clients, but from my clients as well. While I understand most of what’s behind those worries—the debt ceiling, at the moment—what is interesting is that last year, during the bear market, I heard much less in the way of worry. It’s not that people weren’t concerned, but there wasn’t the level of immediate fear that I am hearing right now.
The U.S. Hits the Debt Ceiling (Again): Now What?
As of today, the U.S. has borrowed as much as it legally can and will be prohibited from borrowing any more. Or, in the language of the headlines, we have hit the debt ceiling. The new Congress has failed to pass a law allowing the Treasury to borrow the money to make payments that previous Congresses have required the Treasury to make. The Treasury will therefore have to use cash on hand right now, as well as any inflows, to pay the outstanding bills for as long as it can—until the money runs out.
Monthly Market Risk Update: January 2023 [SlideShare]
My colleague Sam Millette, manager, fixed income on Commonwealth’s Investment Management and Research team, helped me put together this month’s Market Risk Update. Thanks for the assist, Sam! Let’s take a closer look.
Economic Release Snapshot: Inflation Expectations Fall
Each week, we break down the latest U.S. economic reports, including what the results mean for the overall health of the economy. Here, you will find how economists’ forecasts compare with actual results, key takeaways to consider, as well as a list of what’s on tap for the week ahead.
Will Q4 Earnings Defy Expectations?
We are at the start of the period in which companies release their results for the fourth quarter of 2022, known as earnings season. With everything going on—inflation, rate hikes, a labor shortage, the strength of the dollar, a pending recession, the list goes on and on—the results are unusually uncertain this time around. Analysts are struggling to figure out exactly what all this means.